Tuesday, 25 September 2012

The Golden Pompous

Ohh the title bears similarity with a Hollywood movie .. with the animals speaking the mood !! Well its almost the same, the Bulls n the Bears have spoken and yeah Gold is worth its wait .. oops I meant weight !!
Well the gold prices which scaled record highs in the month of August had investors going gaga in the US and Europe. Investors preferred the yellow metal over the fickle minded equity markets.

Priced at Rs. 27136 per 10 gms in January this year, Gold is now enjoying premium price of Rs. 31219 per 10 gms as of September.Now even that cloud is wondering why dint I wait for the golden lining. Although this demand somehow fizzed out in the latter first half of the year largely thanks to slowdown in India & China. It seems like there are no mahurats available for weddings in Kerala !!

Its quite a stat that India & China account for 45% of global demand. Why are Chinese investing so much in Gold rather go and invest in Jackie Chan or Jet Li movies. However investment demand for Gold in particular has fallen in the two Asian giants off late. Gold has acted like that faithful Ramukaka or Deendayal giving steady returns in India over the years. While sensex moved like Abhishek Bachchan's career graph, Gold was the Rahul Dravid of all commodities.

Since Gold prices are denominated in terms of Dollars the equation becomes as clear as an Akshay Kumar movie. The more you see him the less you see other characters in action. Likewise the increase in the price of Gold means a big jolt for Dollar among other currencies.

Under these circumstances come a new wave in the market, the Gold ETFs. This product helps the gold crazy nation to accumulate gold one step at a time with minimum risk of theft or cheating. Transparency being a USP, Gold ETFs have no tax hassles and can become an Indian's best friend if welcomed with open arms.

But no matter what the price is Indians will not end their fascination for the precious metal. Indians are crazy about owning gold. No wonder, that the physical gold held by households in India is more than 15,000 tons, which is the largest in the world. The daughters will continue to get married laden with gold. The middle aged dad will always invest in Gold as a long term investment inspite of better investment options. And yes the festivals, our rich heritage will force even the sane of all to get lured away by the yellow metal. If this madness is not enough, the devotees move up one step ahead and actually are giving gold to Gods.

Thursday, 20 September 2012

Hitch'Hike' no more 'Diesel'worthy !!

After pampering its more glorious brother, The Petrol, the government finally paid some heed to the neglected sibling and restored parity thereby ending an unsaid family feud !! Petrol vs Diesel.
The recent hike in Diesel prices was perhaps a step to decrease the monetary difference between the two fuels. In a way Government acted like a Robin hood trying to diminish the difference between the rich and the poor.


However, there is an alarming difference. Hikes in Petrol prices come as often as hundreds flowing from Virat Kohli's bat whether its a Test or an ODI. On the other hand, Diesel hike is like an Ashish Nehra 6 wicket haul, you know that it occured but have to strain your memory to actually recollect its existence.

So the Prime Minister and the GOI took a gutsy step is what they said, but PM will lose his guts for opening his mouth for the first time they never said !!
Agreed that it was a bold step and that there will be no rollbacks even if the grumpy Bengalan loses her vocal cords while agitating, but it had to be. Hikes in Petrol had reached its saturation and there was no way it could bear more. Poor Petrol seemed like that 10th standard kid who is loaded with IIT entrance studies.

But the fact still remains, Diesel increased by Rs. 5 and to add to it rationing in LPG as well. Not the ideal scenario for the truck driver with a joint family. Loss on the road and off the road too !! Poor bugger !!
And coming directly to the point - our interest - well for starters the diesel car segment will raise a huge hue and cry increasing the prices of cars regards to or regardless of the increase in production cost. Basic necessities which come to our doorstep in a diesel infused vehicle will see a rise. *Shopkeepers like this*

As for the LPG 'reforms', the family heads now have a new line on their brow. How to tackle the 6 cylinder crisis. This is much bigger than the Asian crisis of 1997 or even the Sub prime crisis of 2008. No more fancy items in order to save fuel so that the family does not need to invest in more cylinders at exorbitant prices.
So now there is a clear cut definition for any average family guy. It goes something like this. An average family guy can be defined as one with a 2 cylinder scooter, a 4 cylinder vehicle and a 6 cylinder family.

Wednesday, 12 September 2012

Scams n Scandals: A documentation nightmare


With the onset of these scams and scandals all round, there is a popular trend practiced by the Indian media to coin each one of these. We have the PornGate & the very recent CoalGate !!

But we definitely need a better naming system going forward and especially at the speed with which these politicians are indulging in these scams. Yeah indulging seems an appropriate word as these gluttons really relish these opportunities.
So what could be this naming system. A naming system should be as such that a Configuration management anchor of any CMMI level 5 company should also be proud. No loopholes !!

With files and reams of paper being wasted just to document the extent of these scams and their retrospective effects, its wise to make it all electronic right at the word go. In the essence of time saving, the party in question aka the politician should give the green signal to the documentation authorities the time he starts the scam. Assumption: Our law system is and will be on top of their level of incompetence. As for the 'Assumption', even our Finance papers need assumptions then why should my blog lag behind.
As my thinking goes, every scam should be denoted by a specific 10 numbered Alpha numeric combination so that all the records stay intact and distinguished at the same time. We dont want to take credit for someones hardwork, neither do we want to misplace someone else's credit. Yeah sarcasm galore !!!
So the pattern would be something like this XXX-##-XX-### where X stands for an alphabet & # for a number.

The system would be as simple as it suggests. Afterall our incompetent authorities cant find the root causes, atleast the documentation should not give them headaches.
The first three alphabets will be the code for the scam - a sort of alias. Let us consider an example. The Commonwealth scam can be denoted by 'CWG' while the CoalGate by 'CLG'. This originated first but was kept under wraps. The NSE/BSE ticker came much late. The prime focus here being that it sets across a common platform for things going on further.

Second come the 2 digits and the following two alphabets which represent the year of the scam and the details that go alongwith. Say Telecom scam started in 2010 so the base year will be considered. But we here are the liberal kind and we do not discourage them from making further bifurcations in the scheme of things. Even the Hindi movies have sequels then why deny these innocent politicians. So the two Alphabets denote the subsections going right from A to Z and continuing till AA till ZZ. As mentioned we dont want to deny the right to an independent scam as it is free India afterall. Cartoonists can go to hell but our beloved politicians need their claim to fame.

Finally the last but definitely not the least, the set of 3 digits which gives the number of documents for the particular scam. Scamsters please take note that dont be so 'beat around the bush' guys and try to cover the scam in less number of documents. Its more like have some shame not for the scam but in terms of saving electronic/cloud space for fellow scamsters.
So dear Politicians please help us in our process of efficient handling of your documents and give your utmost support. We will be forever obliged.

Disclaimer: This is just a temporary solution. Any changes for the betterment in the system can be brainstormed upon with the me and the Politician incharge. Thanks !!

Thursday, 6 September 2012

Who 'Flip'ped the 'Kart' ??


India is currently witnessing a golden period when it comes to Ecommerce websites. These sites are like emergence of a wada pav wala during monsoon, one every block. No matter which website you visit, educational or sports oriented, our very own ecommerce sites are there to welcome you. Yebhi, Wohbhi, MyKart, Yourkart etc. Everyone is searching for a stable business model but to no avail and please dont talk about discounts !! Discounts are being offered with the same magnitude and frequency as that of rebirths of Ekta Kapoor serial heroes !!

Till now there was some hope and that was the poster boy of this Dotcom boom i.e. *drumroll* Flipkart !!
But now even Flipkart might be in trouble. By the looks of it, Flipkart looks a solid foundation with considerable profits & sizeable market share but infact its a company in dire need of funds and is working on negative cash flows.Flipkart has already gobbled up $181 million from two separate Venture capitalist funding and the hunger still prevails.

Accel Partners & Tiger Global are very much in the mix with 48% holding after their investment while Bansals (the mom-dad of Flipkart) hold around 37% in the brand. With this share, its difficult for them to negotiate a deal to save their baby. Flipkart who currently has a revenue of $350 million was having a profit margin deficit and only recently got to a 2-3% profit margin that too after extension of product catalogue. Thats the main reason they cannot get listed on the local stock exchange and get money in through IPO owing to the stringent entry norms. So one of the lucrative options they have left is to get listed abroad or sell off the business and go for Char Dhaam yatra !!

So consider this current scenario where Flipkart is looking for funds from people and people do come in handy not just by buying books at discounted rates but investing in the brand too. How would that go if some of our country's finest lend their hand and in return look for Flipkart to for some inspiration out of their business model to get their business done? Lets take a sneak peek !!

Our ministers will be the first to seize the opportunity (as always) and take help of the 5000 odd delivery men to transport their black money from one hand to the other. Obviously the question marks will be there on how legitimate the investments are !!
Next our various sports teams in India especially the Hockey team after its disastrous performance at Olympics will provide some funds and in return will wear Flipkart on their jerseys. The primary motive being that they will deliver on time.

Next in line would be our not so successful actors like Fardeen Khan & Harman Baweja who would invest in this ecommerce venture and take lessons from them about how to diverse their portfolio with more things to offer than just one 'blank face' before the camera !!
Not far behind would be our directors who would look to induce the 'Pay after delivery' system with respect to the payments of our heroines and their obese meddlesome mothers.
Also film distributors would look to learn and adopt the '30 day moneyback guarantee' from Flipkart if the movie does not do well.
Finally and as usual in the end, the mango people will make their small bid towards this cause by contributing the usual way i.e. pay for the items on show. Be it books or electronic items, there is no dispute that Flipkart is one of the names on everyone's mouths. Afterall little drops of water make the mighty ocean !!